Esports Bet Logo
Esports Bet Logo
Join Discord

News

NEWSforward
CS2forward
BREAKING NEWS

breaking news

Esports Betting Tips

transfer

headlines

blog

IEM Melbourne 2025 Grand Finals Preview: Vitality vs Falcons
MAT2025-04-27

IEM Melbourne 2025 Grand Finals Preview: Vitality vs Falcons

IEM Melbourne 2025 Grand Final: Vitality vs. Falcons – Full Statistical Preview

April 27, 2025 | Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne

The Grand Final of IEM Melbourne 2025 is set:

Team Vitality — the dominant favorites — will face the ambitious challengers, Team Falcons , in a Best-of-5 decider for the $1,000,000 prize pool.

Here’s an in-depth preview based on the latest data, performances, and matchup probabilities.


Team Vitality : The Unstoppable Machine

Current Roster:

  • Dan "apEX" Madesclaire

  • Mathieu "ZywOo" Herbaut

  • Shahar "flameZ" Shushan

  • William "mezii" Merriman

  • Robin "ropz" Kool

  • Coach: Rémy "XTQZZZ" Quoniam

Recent Form (IEM Melbourne 2025):

  • Maps Won: 8-0 (100% win rate)

  • Average Round Difference: +7.5 rounds

  • First Kill Success Rate: 62%

  • Pistol Round Win Rate: 58%

  • Clutch Win Rate (1vX): 67%

Key Strengths:

  • ZywOo currently holds a 1.34 HLTV rating this tournament (top 1 overall).

  • mezii and ropz provide 75% success rate in late-round clutching when alive past 45 seconds.

  • flameZ consistently opening with a 56% success entry rate.


Team Falcons : The Bold Challengers

Current Roster:

  • Emil "Magisk" Reif

  • Nikola "NiKo" Kovač

  • Damjan "kyxsan" Stoilkovski

  • Ilya "m0NESY" Osipov

  • René "TeSeS" Madsen

  • Coach: Danny "zonic" Sørensen

Recent Form (IEM Melbourne 2025):

  • Maps Won: 7-3 (70% win rate)

  • Average Round Difference: +3.2 rounds

  • First Kill Success Rate: 55%

  • Pistol Round Win Rate: 62%

  • Clutch Win Rate (1vX): 51%

Key Strengths:

  • NiKo is playing at a 1.22 HLTV rating with a 53% multi-kill round ratio.

  • m0NESY has a first AWP kill success of 49%, second highest behind ZywOo.

  • TeSeS shows a 60% CT-side survival rate (team-high).


Map Veto

Using their recent map data and comfort zones:

Vitality likely bans: Ancient (their weakest at 43% winrate)
Falcons likely bans: Anubis (lowest pick priority)

Predicted Picks:

  • Vitality picks: Inferno (85% winrate past 3 months)

  • Falcons picks: Dust2 (72% winrate past 3 months)

Remaining Maps and Decider:

  • Mirage (leaning Vitality)

  • Nuke (leaning Falcons)

  • Train (50/50 brawl)


Overall Series Win Probability

Team Vitality 65% - 35% Team Falcons

Predicted Scoreline:

Vitality 3-1 Falcons

Possible Alternate Scenario: Falcons push a 5-map thriller if they can steal Mirage early.


Final Thoughts

  • If Vitality wins pistol rounds: Their probability of closing maps rises to 72%.

  • If Falcons start strong: Falcons' win chance improves by 18% if they win 4+ CT-side rounds early.

  • Critical Detail: Falcons need m0NESY to outperform ZywOo (less than 5 deaths difference) to realistically upset.

Prediction:

  • Vitality defeat Falcons 3-1.
  • MVP likely: ZywOo (74% chance if Vitality wins)

RELATED NEWS

Atmosphere at the  Austin  Major arena — Quarterfinals Day 2
Atmosphere at the Austin Major arena — Quarterfinals Day 2
7 days ago
 s1mple  — the Best AWPer of BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025: Stage 3
s1mple — the Best AWPer of BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025: Stag...
12 days ago
The  MongolZ  sensationally advanced to the semifinals of Blast.tv  Austin  Major 2025 after defeating FaZe.
The MongolZ sensationally advanced to the semifinals of Bl...
7 days ago
 Passion UA  Defeats  Fnatic  to Win LAN Tournament in  Sweden
Passion UA Defeats Fnatic to Win LAN Tournament in Swede...
12 days ago
Informations
  • Statistics
  • News
  • Main Events
  • Promotions
  • ESC Exchange
  • VIP Tier
Games
  • Esports
  • Sports
Support
  • Contact Us
  • Live Chat
  • Buy Crypto
  • NFT Collection
  • FAQ
  • General Betting Rules
About
  • About Us
  • Responsible Gaming Policy
  • Terms & Conditions
  • Mission Statement
  • Privacy Policy
  • KYC
  • Video
Social
DiscordTwitterInstagramYouTube
This website is operated by Westward Way Tech N.V. (registration No. 158203), with address at Abraham de Veerstraat 9, Curaçao. This website is operated under license number: OGL/2020A/569/0357 issued by Gaming Service Provider, Authorised and Regulated by the Government of Curaçao. Apollo MKT Limited, Reg. No. HE 418346, having its registered office at AGIOU FOTIOU 12, NICOSIA, 1077, CYPRUS, which provides management, payment and support services related to the operation of the website. Gambling can be addictive. Play responsibly.

Players must be over 18 to access our site. Esports Bet is committed to responsible gaming, stop playing whenever the game stops being fun.

Always be aware of how gaming may impact your life and the people around you.